Preparations

Load the necessary libraries

library(tidyverse)
## Loading tidyverse: ggplot2
## Loading tidyverse: tibble
## Loading tidyverse: tidyr
## Loading tidyverse: readr
## Loading tidyverse: purrr
## Loading tidyverse: dplyr
## Conflicts with tidy packages ----------------------------------------------
## filter(): dplyr, stats
## lag():    dplyr, stats

Scenario

Polis et al. (1998) were intested in modelling the presence/absence of lizards (Uta sp.) against the perimeter to area ratio of 19 islands in the Gulf of California.

Uta lizard

Uta lizard

Format of polis.csv data file

ISLAND RATIO PA
Bota 15.41 1
Cabeza 5.63 1
Cerraja 25.92 1
Coronadito 15.17 0
.. .. ..
ISLAND Categorical listing of the name of the 19 islands used - variable not used in analysis.
RATIO Ratio of perimeter to area of the island.
PA Presence (1) or absence (0) of Uta lizards on island.

The aim of the analysis is to investigate the relationship between island parimeter to area ratio and the presence/absence of Uta lizards.

Read in the data

polis = read_csv('data/polis.csv', trim_ws=TRUE)
## Parsed with column specification:
## cols(
##   ISLAND = col_character(),
##   RATIO = col_double(),
##   PA = col_integer()
## )
glimpse(polis)
## Observations: 19
## Variables: 3
## $ ISLAND <chr> "Bota", "Cabeza", "Cerraja", "Coronadito", "Flecha", "G...
## $ RATIO  <dbl> 15.41, 5.63, 25.92, 15.17, 13.04, 18.85, 30.95, 22.87, ...
## $ PA     <int> 1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1

Exploratory data analysis

Model formula: \[ y_i \sim{} \mathcal{Bin}(n, p_i)\\ ln\left(\frac{p_i}{1-p_i}\right) = \beta_0 + \beta_1 ln(x_i) \]

Fit the model

Model validation

Model investigation / hypothesis testing

Predictions

Summary figures

References

Polis, G. A., S. D. Hurd, C. D. Jackson, and F. Sanchez-Piñero. 1998. “Multifactor Population Limitation: Variable Spatial and Temporal Control of Spiders on Gulf of California Islands.” Ecology 79: 490–502.